聖塔非研究所

論預測的生成本質

2009 · 已發表論文 · 更新 2026/08/30 下午12:48

摘要 Given an observed 隨機 process, 計算 mechanics provides an explicit and efficient method of constructing a minimal hidden 馬可夫 model within the class of maximally predictive models. Here, the …

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原文連結

論文資訊

  • 類型:已發表論文
  • 日期:2009

摘要

Given an observed 隨機 process, 計算 mechanics provides an explicit and efficient method of constructing a minimal hidden 馬可夫 model within the class of maximally predictive models. Here, the corresponding so-called epsilon-machine encodes the mechanisms of prediction. We propose an alternative notion of predictive models in terms of a hidden 馬可夫 model capable of generating the underlying 隨機 process. A comparison of these two notions of prediction reveals that our approach is less restrictive and thereby allows for predictive models that are more concise than the epsilon-machine.

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