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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型：已發表論文
- 日期：2010
摘要
Conflict destabilizes 社會 interactions and impedes 合作 at multiple scales of 生物 organization. Of fundamental interest are the causes of turbulent periods of conflict. We analyze conflict dynamics in an monkey society model system. We develop a technique, Inductive 賽局理論, to extract directly from time-series data the decision-making strategies used by individuals and groups. This technique uses 蒙地卡羅 simulation to test alternative causal models of conflict dynamics. We find individuals base their decision to fight on memory of 社會 factors, not on short timescale ecological resource competition. Furthermore, the 社會 assessments on which these decisions are based are triadic (self in relation to another pair of individuals), not pairwise. We show that this triadic decision making causes long confli
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