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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型：已發表論文
- 日期：2011
摘要
S college drinking data and a simple 族群 model of alcohol consumption are used to explore the impact of 社會 and contextual parameters on the distribution of light, moderate and heavy drinkers. Light drinkers become moderate drinkers under 社會 influence, moderate drinkers may change environments and become heavy drinkers. We estimate the drinking reproduction number, R-d, the average number of individual transitions from light to moderate drinking that result from the introduction of a moderate drinker in a 族群 of light drinkers. Design and Settings Ways of assessing and ranking progression of drinking risks and data- driven definitions of high- and low-risk drinking environments are introduced. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses, via a novel 統計 approach, are conducted to assess R-d variabili
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