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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型：已發表論文
- 日期：2012
摘要
Canine 疫苗接種 has been successful in controlling rabies in diverse settings worldwide. However, concerns remain that coverage levels which have previously been sufficient might be insufficient in systems where 傳播 occurs both between and within 族群s of domestic dogs and other carnivores. To evaluate the effectiveness of 疫苗接種 targeted at domestic dogs when wildlife also contributes to 傳播, we applied a next-generation matrix model based on contract tracing data from the Ngorongoro and Serengeti Districts in northwest Tanzania. We calculated corresponding values of R-0, and determined, for policy purposes, the probabilities that various annual 疫苗接種 targets would control the 疾病, taking into account the empirical uncertainty in our field data. We found that transition rate estimates and correspondi
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