聖塔非研究所

摘要 Press Release excerpt: “The upper limit suggested

2013 · 已發表論文 · 更新 2026/08/30 下午12:48

摘要 Press Release excerpt: “The upper limit suggested by the United Nations hardly represents a stable equilibrium,” Oskar Burger said. The results of the team’s model have now been published…

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原文連結

論文資訊

  • 類型:已發表論文
  • 日期:2013

摘要

Press Release excerpt: “The upper limit suggested by the United Nations hardly represents a stable equilibrium,” Oskar Burger said. The results of the team’s model have now been published in the science magazine “Frontiers in 生態學 and the Environment”. The model is based on the observation that 族群 growth strongly depends on per capita energy use: if more energy is available, 經濟 development will continue, which will in turn put pressure on birth rates. If birth rates are sufficiently low throughout the world, the global 族群 will stop growing. Burger’s model is thus at variance with the projections of the United Nations, which simply extrapolates a trend towards declining numbers of birth observed over the past several decades.

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