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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型：已發表論文
- 日期：2014-11-13
摘要
Despite significant progress in 氣候 impact research, the narratives that science can presently piece together of a 2, 3, 4, or 5 degrees C warmer world remain fragmentary. Here we briefly review past undertakings to characterise comprehensively and quantify 氣候 impacts based on multi-model approaches. We then report on the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), a community-driven effort to compare impact models across sectors and scales systematically, and to quantify the uncertainties along the chain from greenhouse gas emissions and 氣候 input data to the modelling of 氣候 impacts themselves. We show how ISI-MIP and similar efforts can substantially advance the science relevant to impacts, 適應 and vulnerability, and we outline the steps that need to be taken in order to
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