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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型:已發表論文
- 日期:2016-02-08
摘要
Asthma exacerbations exhibit a consistent annual pattern, closely mirroring the school calendar. Although respiratory 病毒es-the "common cold" 病毒es-are implicated as a principal cause, there is little evidence to link viral prevalence to seasonal differences in risk. We jointly fit a common cold 傳播 model and a model of 生物 and environmental exacerbation triggers to estimate effects on hospitalization risk. Asthma hospitalization rate, influenza prevalence, and air quality measures are available, but common cold circulation is not; therefore, we generate estimates of viral prevalence using a 傳播 model. Our deterministic multi病毒 傳播 model includes 傳播 rates that vary when school is closed. We jointly fit the two models to 7 y of daily asthma hospitalizations in adults and children (66,000 events)
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