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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型：已發表論文
- 日期：2016-12-15
摘要
Zika 病毒 (ZIKV) originated and continues to circulate in a sylvatic 傳播 cycle between non-human primate hosts and arboreal mosquitoes in tropical Africa. Recently ZIKV invaded the Americas, where it poses a threat to human health, especially to pregnant women and their infants. Here we examine the risk that ZIKV will establish a sylvatic cycle in the Americas, focusing on Brazil. We review the natural history of sylvatic ZIKV and present a 數學 dynamic 傳播 model to assess the probability of establishment of a sylvatic ZIKV 傳播 cycle in non-human primates and/or other mammals and arboreal mosquito vectors in Brazil. Brazil is home to multiple 物種 of primates and mosquitoes potentially capable of ZIKV 傳播, though direct assessment of host competence (ability to mount viremia sufficient to infect a f
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