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原文連結
論文資訊
- 類型：已發表論文
- 日期：2025-01-18
摘要
We analyze the employment dynamics of a rapid decarbonization of the US power sector, reducing emissions by 95% before 2035. We couple an input-output model with an occupational mobility 網絡 and identify three labor market phases: "scale-up,""scale-down,"and a long-term, low-carbon, "steady state."During the scale-up (2023-2034), for every job lost in an industry, 12 new jobs are created elsewhere. However, few occupations see sustained growth throughout the transition. We predict that skill mismatches will create frictions during the transition, especially in the scale-down phase. Compared with the size and fluctuations of the US labor market, the impact of this transition is modest, particularly if the US increases exports of clean energy technologies to counteract the domestic scale-down
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