聖塔非研究所

每日平均溫度比每小時溫度總和更能預測瘧疾傳播的熱極限

2025-04-11 · 已發表論文 · 更新 2026/08/30 下午12:48

摘要 Temperature shapes the geographic distribution, seasonality, and magnitude of mosquito borne 疾病 outbreaks. Models predicting 傳播 often use mosquito and pathogen thermal responses measured …

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原文連結

論文資訊

  • 類型:已發表論文
  • 日期:2025-04-11

摘要

Temperature shapes the geographic distribution, seasonality, and magnitude of mosquito-borne 疾病 outbreaks. Models predicting 傳播 often use mosquito and pathogen thermal responses measured at constant temperatures. However, mosquitoes live in fluctuating temperatures. Rate summation--non-linear averaging of trait values measured at constant temperatures-is commonly used to infer performance in fluctuating environments, but its accuracy is rarely validated. We measured three traits that impact 傳播-bite rate, survival, fecundity-in a malaria mosquito (Anopheles stephensi) across three diurnal temperature ranges (0, 9, and 12 degrees C). We compared 傳播 thermal suitability models with temperature-trait relationships observed under constant temperatures, fluctuating temperatures, and those predict

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